Preparing for Unprecedented Rains in Kenya

As we approach the coming months, the Climate Prediction Center has issued a significant forecast for Kenya and neighboring regions. Brace yourselves, as the sea surface temperature in the West Central Indian Ocean, along the Tanzanian and Kenyan borders, is expected to be the warmest in the last 60 years. This warming trend is likely to lead to record-breaking evaporation and, consequently, heavy rainfall.

What to Expect

March through May is predicted to witness rainfall of historic proportions, especially in areas like Kangaita in Mt. Kenya and Amboni in Aberdares. Residents can anticipate rainfall amounts that may reach up to 1500mm in just three months. The rain will not discriminate, with Kenya, Tanzania, Somalia, and Uganda all facing the risk of catastrophic flooding.

Preparing for the Rain

For those residing in flood-prone areas, caution is key. Keep a close eye on weather updates and be prepared to evacuate if necessary. Avoid settling in low-lying areas, and if possible, fortify your homes against potential flooding. It’s advisable for farmers to steer clear of black cotton soils and poorly drained farms during this rain-heavy season.

Agricultural Measures

Farmers, gear up for a season of extreme rain. Consider cultivating crops that are resilient to heavy rainfall and practice soil conservation methods. Learn how to preserve your harvest, as the bumper crop expected could potentially last for three years. Start your planting early, as the official rainy season is likely to kick off before March 15th.

Regional Cooperation

In times of such extreme weather, cooperation is vital. Kenya, Tanzania, Somalia, and Uganda should collaborate on disaster preparedness and response strategies. Sharing information on weather patterns and coordinating efforts to mitigate the impact of heavy rains can make a significant difference.

Looking Ahead

While we prepare for the abundance of rain in the coming months, it’s crucial to keep an eye on the long-term forecast. Be aware that a looming threat of drought and La Niña is expected in October. Farmers are encouraged to view the upcoming rains as an opportunity to grow record crops and preserve them for the future.

In conclusion, preparation and vigilance are our best allies in the face of unpredictable weather patterns. By staying informed, taking precautionary measures, and working together, Kenyans can navigate these challenging weather conditions and emerge resilient.